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Potentially…Sharply Lower

stock going down

  By Harry Boxer, The Technical Trader The stock market indices had a very strong rally after a brief dip at the opening. They tested support, and rallied sharply back, but the Nasdaq 100 reached down to 2605, and then rallied sharply up to 2643, a 38-point rally. The NDX, in the next hour and a half, had a very powerful move, and the S&P 500 jumped from 1349 to 1366 by mid-morning. They then began to pull back in an orderly fashion, but that kept going all day. At the end of the day, they reached down toward the 2615-16 zone on the NDX, and 1353 1/2 on the S&P 500. … [Read more...]

US Markets Remain Focused on Eurozone Troubles

eurozone

  Despite an attempt to showcase its resiliency of late, the uncertainty surrounding Greece's future as a eurozone member and disappointing data out of the eurozone was too heavy a weight for the bulls and US equities were solidly lower. With the domestic economic calendar void of any releases that could sway sentiment, Treasuries moved higher amid the weakness in stocks. Meanwhile, equity news was sparse, with Yahoo! announcing that CEO Scott Thompson has resigned amid questionable inconsistencies on his resume, Avon Products said that it will look over Coty's sweetened $10.7 billion … [Read more...]

Climbing Dollar’s Potential Impact on Commodities

commodity_future_trading

By Mike Paulenof The most salient feature of our comparison chart between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodities Index (CRB) is the recent climb in the DXY off of its May 1 low at 78.60 towards another test of a 2-year resistance plateau at 81.40/80. If this plateau is hurdled, the DXY has the potential to trigger a very powerful advance into the 86 area initially and then towards 89-90. Such a powerful advance in the U.S. dollar could crush the commodity complex (CRB), which already is showing signs of stress as it breaks beneath its prior two significant … [Read more...]

Here We Go Again

albert-insane1

  by Larry Levin    The definition of insanity is doing the same thing and expecting a different result. Should we really be surprised we are back here once again? Did we think that the fluffy Dodd-Frank Act actually had any real regulatory bite? Did we expect that letting the banksters run a prop trading desk would yield anything other than complete disaster? The $2 billion JP Morgan trading debacle comes as no surprise, even if Jamie Dimon claims it's surprising. Jonathan Weil at Bloomberg opines in his piece "What Jamie Dimon Doesn’t Know is Plain Scary", referring … [Read more...]

Euro Uncertainty Continues to Upend the Bulls

Euro Downgrades1

The recent downward momentum for the equity markets in continuing in early action to begin a new week, with eurozone economic and political uneasiness applying the pressure on US stocks. Treasuries are rallying amid the solid declines for the equity markets, with no major domestic economic reports scheduled for release today. US equity news is light, with shares of Yahoo Inc moving higher after its CEO Scott Thompson resigned amid discrepancies pertaining to his resume. Meanwhile, the European equity markets are seeing broad-based selling pressure as festering political uncertainty in the … [Read more...]

A Very Negative Reversal…and a Bad Way to End the Week

bad stock

  By Harry Boxer, The Technical Trader The stock market indices had a very strong rally after a brief dip at the opening. They tested support, and rallied sharply back, but the Nasdaq 100 reached down to 2605, and then rallied sharply up to 2643, a 38-point rally. The NDX, in the next hour and a half, had a very powerful move, and the S&P 500 jumped from 1349 to 1366 by mid-morning. They then began to pull back in an orderly fashion, but that kept going all day. At the end of the day, they reached down toward the 2615-16 zone on the NDX, and 1353 1/2 on the S&P 500. … [Read more...]

Trading Gaffe and Chinese Data Send Stocks Lower

downside trader

U.S. equities finished a week dominated by European issues on another down day, but in a break from the trend, today's losses came courtesy of the world's other two largest economies. China released a plethora of disappointing data today, accentuated by industrial production expanding at its slowest pace since 2009. Back in the U.S., JP Morgan Chase disclosed a $2 billon trading loss on a failed hedging strategy. The trading gaffe and Chinese data were enough to offset a surprising increase in consumer confidence. Treasuries were higher and gains were reinforced by a reading from the Producer … [Read more...]

Down-leg Completed in Gold

gold_coins

By Mike Paulenof Spot gold plunged to a new reaction low at $1573.01 in overnight trading, but has since rebounded to $1582/83. On further inspection, let's notice that the overnight new low hit and reversed off of the lower "support" line of the March-May down-slanted channel ... amidst a glaring 4-hour RSI momentum divergence. My pattern and momentum work indicate that the down-leg from the May 1 high at $1672.10 to today's low at $1573.01 has the right look of completion (notwithstanding the likelihood of a retest or even a press to a marginal lower low). That said, to confirm that … [Read more...]

JPM

jamiedi

  by Larry Levin  JP Morgan (JPM) is supposed to be the safest bank on the planet. In a speech less than a year ago, CEO Jamie Dimon claimed JPM had a "fortress balance sheet." "We maintained our fortress balance sheet, ending the second quarter with a Basel I Tier 1 Common ratio of 10.1%. Our strong and growing capital base enabled us to buy back $3.5 billion of stock during the second quarter, and we will continue to buy back stock opportunistically." Not so much. Yesterday we saw what happens when a bankster is forced to tell the truth. JPM shares are being monkey-hammered … [Read more...]

Global Economic Worries, JPM Gaff Sap Sentiment

Global Economic Worries2

  After a plethora of disappointing economic data out of China and the disclosure of a trading mishap from JPMorgan Chase, US equities are lower in early action. The monthly barrage of Chinese data reignited worries of a hard landing for the Asian nation, which has been a key driver to the global economic recovery. Treasuries are higher amid the negativity swirling in the markets and following a report on wholesale prices in the US that were slightly lower than expected at the headline level, while a read on consumer sentiment is set for release after the markets open. In other … [Read more...]