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Has 10-Year T-bond YIELD Started a New Upleg?

Treasury-Bond

    By Mike Paulenof   This morning's upside reversal in 10-year yield from 1.86% to 1.94% ended the correction off of Tuesday’s high at 1.99%, which failed to hurdle and sustain above the 2.3 year down trendline shown below (dashed line). However, both my near and medium pattern and momentum work argue that today's reversal initiated a new upleg within the maturing intermediate-term base pattern in 10-year yield. If my work proves reasonably accurate, then the current up-move in yield will hurdle the down trendline, and Tuesday’s high at 1.99% on the way … [Read more...]

Consumers Exude Confidence

consumer-confidence1

  Domestic equities more than made up for yesterdays sell off, concluding the week higher, following news that consumer sentiment rose to the highest level in six years and a stronger-than-expected leading indicators report. Treasuries saw pressure on the heels of the strong economic data. In equity news, Dell Inc missed analysts' earnings expectations, J.C. Penney Co. Inc posted a wider-than-expected loss, and Autodesk Inc's quarterly results came up short of the Street's forecasts. Elsewhere, both crude oil and the US dollar traded higher, while gold fell for a seventh straight … [Read more...]

More Data

datamore

    by Larry Levin    The nothing-matters-but-Central-Planning rally continued today, until late afternoon.  The morning brought very bearish economic data (again) that was summarily ignored - for HOURS - then finally succumbed to reality.  In fact, even the normally dismissive financial journalists wondered aloud "why in the world is the market grinding higher given ANOTHER day of horrible data?" The Dow closed lower by only 42-points, which was laughably its "worst day" in about two weeks. The morning's additional poor economic data follows. CPI was … [Read more...]

Bulls Trying to Shake Off Yesterday’s Losses

bull market or bear market

  After snapping a record-high streak yesterday on some disappointing data and a flare-up in uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's exit plan, the domestic equity markets are moving modestly higher in early action, ahead of reports on consumer sentiment and leading indicators. Treasuries are flat ahead of the data. In equity news, Dell Inc missed analysts' earnings expectations, J.C. Penney Co. Inc posted a wider-than-expected loss, and Autodesk Inc's quarterly results came up short of the Street's forecasts. Overseas, Chinese stocks lead Asian markets higher on strength in … [Read more...]

Equities Bob Below Flat Line

Dowtech_down

    After trading in a narrow range through out the day, US equities finished marginally lower, snapping a string of record-high closes, with stocks seeing pressure following lackluster global economic data as well as disappointing earnings from Dow member Wal-Mart. In other earnings news, Dow component Cisco Systems Inc reported better-than-expected quarterly profits, while Kohl’s Corp released earnings that also surpassed the Street’s profit forecasts. Treasuries rallied higher following disappointing jobs data, an unexpected contraction in regional manufacturing and a mixed read … [Read more...]

SLW Putting in a Double-Bottom Corrective Low?

Silver Wheaton

    By Mike Paulenof   After plunging to new multi-year lows at 21.69, Silver Wheaton Corp. (SLW) has pivoted to the upside with power, and has climbed above 23.99 for an intraday-upside reversal of 6% so far. More significantly, however, is the prospect of a major-key reversal if SLW can climb and close above yesterday’s high at 23.13, which will represent a warning signal to the bears that the decline in SLW from last Nov high at 41.30 is over. If such a key upside-reversal signal is registered today, we will also have to consider that all of the action … [Read more...]

Mixed Earnings and Data Dampening the Bulls’ Mood

Mixed Data

      The US equity markets are seeing some pressure in early action in the wake of mixed earnings reports from the Dow and diverging signals from the global economic calendar. Dow member Wal-Mart Stores Inc missed analysts' quarterly expectations and issued disappointing EPS guidance, while fellow Dow component Cisco Systems Inc topped the Street's profit forecasts and offered upbeat revenue guidance. Treasuries are higher following a larger-than-expected rise in jobless claims, a mixed read on housing starts and building permits, and another benign inflation report, ahead of … [Read more...]

Data Dump

databig

    by Larry Levin    There was another good deal of economic data that was dumped into our laps yesterday morning and it was once again so bad – it was good.  That is to say, it stunk so badly that investors (read: Fraud Street insiders) now believe that the ECB (European Central Bank) is about to go full-Bernanke just like the Japanese. Will Super-Mario counterfeit the Euro to save the bankers like Bernanke & Abe?  Do I have to ask?  If not, why did the following data inspire such a large rally on Fraud Street? French GDP was negative for the 2nd … [Read more...]

Stocks Close Higher Wednesday, Amusing Bulls

bullamuzed

    The major domestic equity markets were able to continue their recent rally and finish the trading session higher, despite disappointing US industrial production and regional manufacturing reports and as early-day momentum was momentarily deflated. Treasuries were higher following the larger-than-expected decline in manufacturing data and another tame read on wholesale price inflation. In other economic news, domestic mortgage applications fell, while homebuilder sentiment improved more than expected. On the equity front, Deere & Co topped the Street's quarterly … [Read more...]

Ford Fulfills Technical Upside Potential

ford-logo-large

    By Mike Paulenof   "The Tepper Rally" aborted the most recent pullback in its tracks at 13.95/92 off of the May 9 high at 14.26. Ford Motor Co. (F) now is screaming towards a full-fledged retest of its Jan high at 14.95, which if hurdled and sustained, should trigger upside continuation towards 15.60-16.00. Only a decline that breaks 13.92 will compromise the current technical set-up.   Sign up a FREE 15-Day Trial to Mike Paulenoff’s ETF Trading Diary! … [Read more...]